Gd forbid, but I have to say it. Mercaz haRav will happen again, and we – the Religious Zionist camp – will share the blame. We haven't planned ahead, we haven't offered an Endgame strategy.
Crying and shouting and wailing is mourning, it's not a strategy.
Cliché sloganeering isn't a strategy, either.
Holding on for Mashiach is quite pious, but it's costing us a lot of blood. (Or are we trying to empty the Guf faster? Does that count as a strategy?)
Chest-thumping insistence that we should transfer the lot of 'em? Not a chance.
So while we righteously reject Olmert's deal-with-the-devil compromises, we don't offer a reasonable alternative. Which means that one of two things must happen, short of deus ex machina:
1) Olmert or some successor maneuvers to victory, or
2) The stalemate with the Arab world continues, bringing with it more Mercaz haRav massacres.
That's it – we haven't provided any other possibility.
So I wish some party would emerge with a compromise I could support. Not a compromise that hides betrayal, a la Olmert's tippy-toe-toward-Jerusalem, maybe-no-one-will-notice approach, but a real package deal that we could accept... and that they, those murderous, bloodthirsty terrorists, could accept as well.
Yes, they have to accept it, too. Consider the options: Outright war isn't going to happen, transfer isn't going to happen, and the Arabs aren't about to give up and walk away. Generations of terrorists have grown up in camps because Jordan, Syria, Egypt and Lebanon have insisted that they must do so. Those products of the camps have dehumanized us in their minds, because it's easier than blaming themselves. So they have no problem trying to kill us.
That situation isn't about to vanish. We need a deal that all parties can accept.
One might counter with the physician's rule, “First, do no harm.” Don't suggest a deal that will harm the patient; better to follow that conservative halachic dictum, shev v'al taaseh adif. But I don't think this is correct here – because the patient is bleeding as we speak, butchered by knives and suicide bombs and Kassam rockets and marauding machine gunners, and Gd only knows what they'll come up with next. In this case, to do nothing is to do harm.
I don't have any magic answers, maps with Area A through Area Q and proposals for deployment of UN pseudo-soldiers. I don't know whether the strategy will come from Likud or Kadima or NRP. All I know is that without an Endgame proposed by someone other than Olmert's camp, the future is bleak... and it includes more blood.